We're now about two weeks into the 2023 NFL Draft. With the initial fervor winding down, we've had time to really evaluate the impact of these landing spots. How do things break down in our latest 2023 Superflex dynasty?fantasy footballfake beginner design?
Latest 4-Runda Dynasty 2023 Rookie Mock Draft
For this Superflex Dynasty 2023 mock draft, we used a PPR scoring format. Although this exercise will serve as a guide to how the concept might play out, it is recommended to design according to the individual needs of your team. Let this serve as a guide on what to expect and where to find value in yoursdynasty rookie design.
1.01) Bijan Robinson, RB, Atlanta Falcons
Although this is a Superflex,robinsonski sesamethat's clear to me 1.01. He is a true generational talent in this position. In an era where few running backs rarely have an ounce of white-collar potential, Robinson is going straight for a three-try streak.
IMPROVE:NFL Mock Draft Simulator 2024 FREE with Transactions!
The landing site couldn't have been much better. Robinson's only competition is Tyler Allgeier, the 2022 fifth-rounder, who remained fifth despite playing well last season, and 32-year-old Cordarrelle Patterson. Robinson is not only my first pick in dynasty rookie drafts, he is minegeneral dynasty RB1.
1.02) Anthony Richardson, feldmaršal, Indianapolis Foals
I'm willing to roll the diceantonio richardsonThe alluring ceiling of Bryce Young and CJ Stroud trumps the safety and reliability it offers. While the latter two are more likely skilled NFL running backs, only one of the three has a chance to crack the fantasy, and that is Richardson.
At his best, Richardson is like an improved Cam Newton. Richardson could average about two touchdowns per game, 40-50 yards rushing and about 220 yards passing. In that world, Richardson is an elite QB1.
Of course, there is a very real possibility that Richardson may never put it all together and be an NFL-caliber QB. But fantasy monsters aren't created by hunting flats.
1.03) Bryce Young, bek, Carolina Panthers
I have no serious concerns about thatbryce jongsize (5'10") or weight (204 pounds). He's a smart player who knows how to protect himself.
Young is a very advanced passer for his age and will start right away. The Panthers don't exactly have the strongest group of pass catchers, but Young is only 22 years old. If it's as good as it should be, they should compile this list ASAP.
Fantasy managers who select Young could have a regular starting quarterback for the next 15 years.
1.04) CJ Stroud, feldmaršal, Houston Texans
Not much Young andCJ Stroud. For me, it's mostly a personal preference. Stroud appears to be the most professional QB in this class. Like Young, he also starts in Week 1.
Like Young, the Texans lack quality running backs. Houston's WR1 is 31-year-old Robert Woods. But they also have time to figure it out. Stroud may not have a top-five cap, but could be a low QB1/high QB2 starting in 2024.
1.05) Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit Leones
I agree with the Lions assessmentJahmyr Gibbsas good as Robinson? Not. Do I care for the purposes of imagination? Absolutely.
Detroit is running the 12th pick in Gibbs' cases. While they don't plan on making him a three-down runner, we've seen what a 50-50 man can do in this backfield as long as he's an explosive player. With a 4.36 40 time and a height of 33.5 inches, Gibbs is as dynamic as they come.
Unless Gibbs goes big outlaw and gets a full workload, it's unlikely he'll make the top five. He doesn't have to either. For me, Gibbs is already a top 12 dynasty running back. When the Lightning returns to the elite offense, he is someone I aggressively target in both dynasty and alignment.
1.06) Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Seattle Seahawks
This year's WR1 gets a bit of a facelift for this landing spot, which is buried behind it.DK MetcalfUTyler Lockett. For a dynasty, that's actually pretty fantastic.
WhileJaxon Smith-Njigbamay struggle to see the field in two-receiver sets as a rookie, Lockett is 31 years old. It's only a matter of time before JSN establishes itself as the team's WR2 against Metcalf, which could happen in 2024.
Meanwhile, Smith-Njigba will continue to have his moments as the Seahawks' leading rusher. He could be a fantasy WR4 as a rookie, but a WR2 as a sophomore.
1.07) Jordan Addison, WR, Minnesota Vikings
In years past, I would have teased a 5'11", 173-pound WR this early in Dynasty's rookie draft. Butjordan addisonhe is part of a new generation of wide receivers. It's not overly explosive, but it's very tricky.
IMPROVE:2023 NFL Fantasy Football Draft Winners and Losers: Bijan Robinson and Jordan Addison landed well
In addition, the landing site is ideal. Addison doesn't project as a WR1 at the NFL level, and he doesn't need to. Addison can check in as a WR2 facing Justin Jefferson for most of his career and should start immediately with two sets of receivers.
I still like JSN long term, but Addison is the best wide receiver as a rookie.
1.08) Quentin Johnston, WR, Los Angeles Chargers
I'm still confused by thatQuentin Johnstonnot only did he go in the 1st round of the NFL draft, but he was the second wide receiver on the board. Aside from my opinion on Johnston, I have to consider this.
Chargers are clearly of the wide receiver type. Johnston looks like a one-for-one replacement for Mike Williams, which is odd because Williams isn't a 31-year-old wide receiver for Los Angeles.
However, Johnston is 6'3″, 208 lbs to be a return to alpha WR1. However, I do question his ability to separate, and the general lack of success with Big 12 wide receivers and TCU in particular makes me wonder. But the design capital and general shallowness of this rookie class is forcing my hand here.
1.09) Zay Flowers, WR, Baltimore Ravens
There are those who will feign enthusiasmflores zaylanding with the Ravens. they will tell youRashod BatemanHe didn't really prove anything, and Odell Beckham Jr. he is 30 years old and comes because of a twice torn cruciate ligament.
Amolamar jackson. But what makes Jackson big isn't the volume. The offensive coordinator upgrade from Greg Roman to Todd Monken will help, but don't expect Jackson to suddenly throw 35 times a game.
At 5'9" and 182 pounds, Flowers is another backup who works better out of position. At best, he'll be Jackson's third option in the passing game as a rookie, and at worst, he'll be fourth.
Jackson can barely handle two imaginative passes. He can't stand three. Forget four. It's a low-volume attack focused on haste.
Maybe Flowers' skills will be good enough to prove me wrong and force himself into the WR1 role (No. 2 behindMarcos Andries). But I can only agree with what history says is happening to Baltimore's catchers with John Harbaugh.
1.10) Zach Charbonnet, RB, Seattle Seahawks
I'd be lying if I said I understood why the Seahawks felt compelled to take a running back in the second round despite the pick.Kenneth Walker III. But they did, and that's important.
The reality is that Walker was secretly ineffective as a rookie, and this move suggests they know they don't want him long-term.
Zach Charbonnetposted a season-best target percentage of 11.2%. He's probably the pre-Walker returner and is good enough to compete for first downs.
Of course, Charbonnet could be buried behind Walker the way former first baseman Rashaad Penny was buried behind Chris Carson as a rookie. However, I expect to gain design capital here.
1.11) Kendre Miller, RB, New Orleans Saints
EsKendre Millerfourth best RB in this class? I'm not sure. But he is very talented and the landing spot is fantastic.
On the surface, Miller seems buried behind him.Alvin CamaraUjamaal williams. But Kamara showed clear signs of decline last season and could face suspension. Williams led the NFL in touchdowns last season, but is still coming off two downs. Also, both Kamara and Williams are 28 years old.
At 5'11" and 215 pounds, Miller hits all the historical benchmarks for NFL RB size. He averaged 3.61 yards after contact against TCU and forced a fumble on 31% of his runs (67 ).
Miller is one injury (or suspension) away from a rookie job. At worst, it is expected to figure prominently in 2024. With the guard's profile, it would be a shame if Miller isn't relevant in fantasy in two years.
1.12) Will Levis, bek, Tennessee Titans
will levisgetting out in the second round is a problem. The odds of a first-round guard never getting a chance are close to zero. The odds of a QB never getting a chance in the second round are much higher.
That said, it's clear that there were several NFL teams that believed Levis was worth a first-round pick. It just didn't work.
IMPROVE:Top Quarterback Dynasty Ranking 2023
ryan tannehillHe will almost certainly enter his final year with the Titans. Tennessee is also a team that might not be as good this season. We've already heard rumors that they might turn to Levis sooner if things go wrong. In fact, I'd be surprised if Levis didn't start as a rookie.
In Dynasty Superflex leagues, running backs are common. So, in the absence of a safety at other positions, you take a quarterback with good starting prospects.
Ronda 2
2.01) Devon Achane, RB, Miami Dolphins
At 5'9", 195 pounds, anyone who invests in himDevon Achaneinvests in outliers. As NFP senior analyst Tommy Garrett revealed, since 1995 there have only been 10 instances of runners under 190 pounds rushing for more than 1,000 yards in a season. Of those times, five were written by Warrick Dunn himself.
The problem with Achane is that we are not asking him to run 1000 meters. Run for 500 and add 500 through the air. Go back to the satellite you were always meant to be, Devon.
Achane can open the season with RB3 behind himRaheem MostertUJeff Wilson Jr., but we are talking about two experienced, oft-injured, replacement talents. It's only a matter of time before Achan gets involved. If there's one coach I have complete confidence in getting the most out of a guy like Achane, it's Mike McDaniel.
2.02) Dalton Kincaid, TE, Buffalo Bills
I really hate coming out tight handed in dynasty rookie drafts. Most of the time its value decreases from year 1 to year 2. In an ideal world, it would neverDalton Kincaid. Instead, let someone else do it and then trade it for them after a bad rookie year.
Unfortunately, once you get past JSN, everyone in this rookie class is a bit of a joker. So why not shoot Kincaid not only as the Bills' TE1, but also as his No. 2 option in the passing game behind?Stefon Diggs?
Not surprisingly for a tight end, Kincaid has a big frame at 6'3 1/2" and 246 pounds with 10 1/4" arms. He caught 70 balls for 890 yards and eight touchdowns last season, including a 16-reception, 234-yard game against USC.
Kincaid looks like a guy who could come back strong in the second half of the season. Even if he doesn't, this is a dynasty and he will be Buffalo's TE1 of the future. Josh Allen isn't going anywhere, and Kincaid should be a fantasy TE1 in three years.
2.03) Jonathan Mingo, WR, Carolina Panthers
I'm not the biggest fan of itjonathan mingoBut I respect the circumstances. With his 6'2", 215 pound frame, Mingo projects as an NFL level WR1. He also has a whopping 96 percentile speed for a man his size.
The Panthers will enter the 2023 season withAdan ThielenUDJ Charklike their top two wide receivers. Despite Thielen's objection to calling it a crop, it actually is. And Chark looks more like a stretched Z than any team's primary target. Mingo could be Young's WR1 as early as 2024. I'll take that chance.
2.04) Sam LaPorta, TE, Detroit Lions
Sam LaPortahe received preliminary second round capital and was the second TE on the board. LaPorta now joins an elite Lions offense that has no tight ends. Everything about this is perfect for him to make his presence felt early and often.
Tight ends often take longer to develop, but that's okay. La Porta is 22 years old. Even if he's not a TE1 until 2025, he'll be worth it given the shallowness of the position.
2.05) Jayden Reed, WR, Michigan State
With the second round of the capital project,jayden caneimmediately becomes someone worth drafting, especially on the shallow Packers WR depth chart.
cristiano watsonUromeo doublethey're projected to be the top two receivers in Green Bay, but I really don't see that with Doubs, who was a third-day pick.
IMPROVE:Dynasty Rookie WR Rankings 2023
Reed had a career YPRR of 2.18 with an adOT of 11.5 and saw a goal on nearly 25% of his passes (325 goals). According to Matt Harmon of Receiving Insights, Reed posted a 70.3% completion rate vs. male, 79.2% vs. zone and the 87th percentile compared to the press of 77.8%. I prefer to bet on the reed shaftJordanian loveWR2 i Doubs.
2.06) Michael Mayer, TE, Las Vegas Raiders
for a moment,miguel mayerhe was the obvious first tight end on the board, but ended up going third. While this clearly frustrated Mayer, he still gained early capital in the 2nd round draft. Plus, he got a fantastic spot on a team without a mobile QB that just lost its top two running backs.
Mayer should be given an opportunity to contribute immediately. At 6'5", 249 pounds, he could become a fantasy TE1 sooner rather than later.
The rest of the 2nd round
2.07)Rochon Johnson, RB, Chicago Bears
2.08)Jalin Hyatt, WR, New York Giants
2.09)Tyja Spears, RB, Tennessee Titanen
2.10)Arroz Rashee, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
2.11)marvin mims, WR, Broncos de Denver
2.12)if you come down, WR, Indianapolis Colts
Ronda 3
3.01)Tanque Bigsby, RB, Jacksonville Jaguars
3.02)cedric tilman, WR, Cafés de Cleveland
3.03)chase brown, RB, Cincinnati Bengal
3.04)Arroz Rashee, WR, Kansas City Chiefs
3.05)Nathaniel "Tank" Dell, WR, Houston Texan
3.06)Sean Tucker, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3.07)charlie jones, WR, Cincinnati Bengal
3.08)Evan casco, RB, Indianapolis Colts
3.09)Lucas MusgraveGreen Bay Packers
3.10)Tucker KraftGreen Bay Packers
3.11)prostitute hedon, QB, Detroit Leones
3.12)Izrael Abanikanda, RB, New York Jets
Ronda 4
4.01)miguel wilson, TE, Arizona Cardinals
4.02)Eric the pig, RB, New York Giants
4.03)harbor cleaner, TE, Dallas Cowboys
4.04)Darnel Washington, TE, Pittsburgh Steelers
4.05)Zak Evans, RB, Los Angeles Onslaught
4.06)DeWayne McBride, RB, Minnesota Vikings
4.07)Kayson Boutte, WR, New England Patriots
4.08)Chris Rodriguez Jr., RB, Washington Commanders
4.09)Deuce Vaughan, RB, Dallas Cowboys
4.10)tyler scott, WR, Chicago Bears
4.11)Xavier Hutchinson, WR, Houston Texan
4.12)tre tucker, WR, Las Vegas Raiders